Where has the paid search profitability gone?


Paid Search Profitability

If you run an eCommerce program, you’ve probably felt the squeeze: customer acquisition via paid search keeps getting pricier, while margins and conversion rates haven’t grown fast enough to cover the tab. Below is a clear-eyed look at the math behind paid search profitability, what’s changed in the market, a practical framework for evaluating break‑even CPC, and a viable alternative: investing a small portion of the paid search budget to grow organic traffic each month.

Paid Search Profitability Trends

Across the industry, average eCommerce conversion rates typically sit around 2–3%, with sector and device variance. That means you don’t have much headroom for rising click costs before paid search turns from a profit center into a break‑even (or worse) channel.

Multiple independent benchmarks show that average Google search CPCs have trended upward in recent years. Analyses of public data and large account sets point to CPC inflation driven by heightened competition and aggressive bidding—especially around seasonal periods and on brand and generic terms.

At the same time, many modern return on ad spend (ROAS) benchmarks for eCommerce cluster around 2–4×. In other words, the average program no longer sees the 5–7× returns that were once more common, particularly as CPCs rise and margins face pressure.

Paid Search Profitability Math

The math is straightforward: Break‑Even CPC = Profit per Order × Conversion Rate. Here, the Profit Per Order equals the Average Order Value multiplied by the Average Gross Profit Margin (inclusive of all product and fulfillment costs).

Here’s an example.

Assumptions:

  • Average Order Value (AOV) = $125
  • Gross Profit Margin = 40%
  • eCommerce Paid Search Conversion Rate ≈ 2.8%

Calculations

  • Profit Per Order $125 × 0.40 = $50
  • Break-Even CPC = $50 × 0.028 = $1.40 per click

If your average cost‑per‑click (CPC) is above ~$1.40 with these inputs, you’re likely losing money.

Alternatives to Paid Search

Consider the Return on Content Spend (ROCS) if, instead of bidding on a paid search click, you earn an incremental organic click by creating competitive product descriptions. In the same example, let’s assume you fund a service to update your product descriptions to make them stronger than your competitors. There are three likely benefits from this investment.

  1. Organic traffic has a higher conversion rate than paid traffic.
  2. Better product page content likely improves your paid search results.
  3. Competitive content is likely to increase organic traffic.

Calculating the expected ROCS is similar to ROAS. Let’s assume that the conversion rate improves because customers trust organic results better, and that competitive content addresses more customer objections. Let’s also assume that having better product content delivers more organic traffic.

Assumptions:

  • Let’s assume that the incremental organic traffic converts 25% better than paid search traffic. Instead of a 2.8% conversion rate, let’s assume a 3.5% conversion rate.
  • Let’s also assume just 2 incremental organic visits per product page a month.
  • Finally, let’s assume that the cost per product per month is $0.75

Calculations

  • Expected Incremental Orders. = 2 organic visits times a 3.5 conversion rate = 0.07 of one order.
  • Expected Return. The expected sales return = 0.07 times the $125 average order size or $8.75 per SKU.
  • Content Costs. If a content service costs $0.75 per product per month, then ROCS = $8.75 / $0.75 or 11.7x.

In the example here, we see that an organic content strategy generated an 11.7x ROCS versus the paid search ROAS in the same example of 2.5x.

Even modest organic results can dramatically lower the customer acquisition cost across all acquisition channels. Descriptive product content is a customer-centric strategy that is designed to create a better shopping experience than a customer might get on other sites.

No one is suggesting eliminating the paid search budget, but instead the suggestion is to consider testing other strategies to determine if you can generate more profitability by spending more on customers and less on search engines.

How DynEcom can help

DynEcom automates competitive, incremental PDP content at scale. We monitor competitor pages, identify gaps, and publish a monthly content superset—clearer specs, answers to real customer questions, and comparison context—so your pages stay more complete and more current than other pages. Priced for less than the typical paid search click, DynEcom’s solution has much more potential to generate a strong return than traditional PPC advertising.

Sources & Further Reading

WordStream (LocaliQ) industry benchmarks: eCommerce search conversion rate ≈ 2.8% (search), updated 2025. https://www.wordstream.com/blog/ws/2016/02/29/google-adwords-industry-benchmarks

Shopify: Average ecommerce conversion rates around 2.5–3% (2025 update). https://www.shopify.com/blog/ecommerce-conversion-rate

Smart Insights: Roundup of 2025 eCommerce conversion benchmarks (Dynamic Yield, IRP). https://www.smartinsights.com/ecommerce/ecommerce-analytics/ecommerce-conversion-rates/

WordStream/LocaliQ: Average Google Ads CPC in 2024 ≈ $4.66 across industries. https://www.wordstream.com/blog/2024-google-ads-benchmarks

Search Engine Land analysis: Evidence of CPC inflation in Google Ads from 2019–2024 public data and benchmark sets. https://searchengineland.com/cpc-inflation-google-ads-costs-rising-fast-454291

Reuters reporting (Nov 2024): Competitive bidding drove spikes in CPCs around peak season (Temu/Shein case). https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/black-friday-online-marketing-costs-jump-bidding-war-with-temu-shein-2024-11-27/

Amazon Ads math guide: Simple relationships among CPC, conversion rate, CPA, profit per sale—useful for break‑even checks. https://advertising.amazon.com/library/guides/ads-math

ROAS benchmarks: Multiple sources place typical ecommerce ROAS in the ~2–4× range on median (e.g., Triple Whale, WhatConverts, First Page Sage). https://www.triplewhale.com/blog/whats-a-good-roas

Additional ROAS context: WhatConverts (2024) and First Page Sage (2025) summaries. https://www.whatconverts.com/blog/what-is-a-good-roas/

Repeat purchase context: Many ecommerce programs see repeat rates in the 15–30% band (use LTV only if your data supports it). https://www.mobiloud.com/blog/repeat-customer-rate-ecommerce